── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrea Vavassori
Gabriel Diallo
43%57%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 19% / 81%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrea Vavassori
51th · average
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Return
Andrea Vavassori
17th · poor
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#120
model rank
#92
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrea Vavassori■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR32Andrea Vavassori6-3 7-6(4)