── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Vavassori
Raphael Collignon
21%79%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Vavassori
47th · average
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Return
Andrea Vavassori
18th · poor
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#120
model rank
#23
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BEL
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Vavassori■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | Q1 | Andrea Vavassori | 6-3 7-6(5) |