── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrea Vavassori
Daniel Merida Aguilar
24%76%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrea Vavassori
51th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Andrea Vavassori
17th · poor
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#120
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrea Vavassori■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-14 | Olbia CH | Hard | R16 | Andrea Vavassori | 6-4 7-6(1) |