── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Jan Lennard Struff
54%46%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#102
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoJan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass20
Clay01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16HalleGrassR32Lorenzo Sonego6-3 6-2
2023-04-24Madrid MastersClayR128Jan Lennard Struff6-3 6-1
2022-06-06StuttgartGrassR16Lorenzo Sonego7-6(2) 7-6(4)