── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
David Goffin
63%37%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
David Goffin
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#87
model rank
#141
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BEL
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ David Goffin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | David Goffin | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-08-19 | Winston-Salem | Hard | SF | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q1 | Lorenzo Sonego | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-02-22 | Montpellier | Hard | QF | David Goffin | 6-4 6-4 |