── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Pierre Hugues Herbert
70%30%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Pierre Hugues Herbert
27th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Pierre Hugues Herbert
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#99
model rank
#178
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Pierre Hugues Herbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardR64Lorenzo Sonego7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Lorenzo Sonego7-6(3) 5-7 6-2 1-6 6-4