── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Pierre Hugues Herbert
69%31%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Pierre Hugues Herbert
26th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Pierre Hugues Herbert
5th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#157
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
FRA
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoPierre Hugues Herbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Lorenzo Sonego7-6(3) 5-7 6-2 1-6 6-4