── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Nikoloz Basilashvili
58%42%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 63% / 37%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
23th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#98
model rank
#135
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GEO
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Nikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Halle | Grass | Q2 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-1 6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(4) |
| 2021-09-27 | San Diego | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-07-24 | Tokyo Olympics | Hard | R32 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-4 3-6 6-4 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-3 6-1 |