── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marcos Giron a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Marcos Giron
45%55%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#87
model rank
#65
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | R16 | Marcos Giron | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-11-06 | Metz | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 2-6 6-3 7-6(3) |