── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Cameron Norrie
33%67%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 42% / 58%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
GBR
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoCameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard03
Clay10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02MetzHardSFCameron Norrie4-6 6-2 6-4
2024-12-30Hong KongHardR16Cameron Norrie6-2 4-6 6-1
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Cameron Norrie6-4 6-4
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersClayR16Lorenzo Sonego6-2 7-5