── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Jan Choinski
51%49%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#98
model rank
#102
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GBR
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Jan Choinski
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Metz | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |