── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Pedro Martinez
68%32%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Pedro Martinez
41th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#151
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoPedro Martinez
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Lorenzo Sonego6-2 2-6 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Pedro Martinez6-4 1-6 6-2