── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Pedro Martinez
65%35%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Pedro Martinez
41th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#98
model rank
#157
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Pedro Martinez
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Lorenzo Sonego6-2 2-6 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR64Pedro Martinez6-4 1-6 6-2