── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Taylor Fritz
23%77%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 22% / 78%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#15
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoTaylor Fritz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard05
Clay20
Grass02
── 9 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR32Taylor Fritz7-6(4) 7-5
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR64Taylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-3
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersHardR32Taylor Fritz6-4 7-6(1)
2021-11-01Paris MastersHardR64Taylor Fritz3-6 6-2 6-3
2021-04-05CagliariClaySFLorenzo Sonego6-4 5-7 6-1
2021-03-08DohaHardR32Taylor Fritz7-6(5) 6-4
2020-09-28Roland GarrosClayR32Lorenzo Sonego7-6(5) 6-3 7-6(17)
2018-07-02WimbledonGrassR128Taylor Fritz3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2
2018-06-18Queen's ClubGrassQ1Taylor Fritz6-2 3-6 6-1