── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Carlos Taberner
68%32%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 90% / 10%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Carlos Taberner
4th · poor
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Carlos Taberner
51th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#98
model rank
#169
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Carlos Taberner
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Lorenzo Sonego6-4 6-0 6-3
2016-08-15Cordenons CHClayR16Lorenzo Sonego6-2 7-5