── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Daniel Altmaier
54%46%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoDaniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02MetzHardQFLorenzo Sonego6-4 7-6(6)
2017-10-16Ismaning CHHardR32Lorenzo Sonego7-6(5) 6-4
2015-09-07Italy F26ClayFLorenzo Sonego7-5 6-4