── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
32%68%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 61% / 39%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#87
model rank
#33
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-6(2) 6-4 |
| 2019-09-02 | Genova CH | Clay | F | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-2 4-6 7-6(6) |