── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Aleksandar Kovacevic
57%43%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 84% / 16%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
68th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Aleksandar Kovacevic
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#113
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoAleksandar Kovacevic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13StockholmHardR16Lorenzo Sonego7-6(3) 6-1