── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Brandon Nakashima
36%64%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#87
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
USA
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-7(5) 7-6(8) 7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(3) |
| 2024-12-30 | Hong Kong | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-6(4) 6-3 |