── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Bu Yunchaokete a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Bu Yunchaokete
48%52%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Bu Yunchaokete
53th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Bu Yunchaokete
27th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#78
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CHN
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoBu Yunchaokete
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Lorenzo Sonego6-1 6-4