── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Musetti
22%78%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#87
model rank
#12
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 3-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-2 |