── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Musetti
23%77%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
78th · strong
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
90th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#98
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
191cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 3-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-3 6-2 |