── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
41%59%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 93% / 7%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#51
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
ARG
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoJuan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17ChengduHardR32Lorenzo Sonego4-6 6-3 6-1