── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Lorenzo Sonego
Flavio Cobolli
28%72%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#87
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Lorenzo SonegoFlavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02MetzHardR16Lorenzo Sonego2-6 6-3 7-5