── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Mariano Navone
36%64%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#50
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ARG
191cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass2–0
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-6(2) 2-6 6-4 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-4 7-6(2) 6-4 |