── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Gabriel Diallo a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Gabriel Diallo
48%52%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#92
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
191cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-2 |
| 2025-01-06 | Auckland | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-6(5) 2-6 7-6(7) |