── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Lorenzo Sonego
Juncheng Shang
57%43%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Return
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#99
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
CHN
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Lorenzo Sonego■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Juncheng Shang | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-08-19 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R16 | Lorenzo Sonego | W/O |