── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nuno Borges a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Marin Cilic
54%46%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 13% / 87%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#70
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
CRO
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Nuno Borges | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2021-04-26 | Estoril | Clay | R16 | Marin Cilic | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 |