── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nuno Borges 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Marin Cilic
64%36%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 27% / 73%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
81th · strong
Marin Cilic
77th · strong
Return
Nuno Borges
67th · average
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#35
model rank
#83
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
CRO
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | 's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | R16 | Marin Cilic | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R16 | Nuno Borges | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2021-04-26 | Estoril | Clay | R16 | Marin Cilic | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 |