── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nuno Borges
Grigor Dimitrov
43%57%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 20% / 80%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#41
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
BUL
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Nuno BorgesGrigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersHardR64Grigor Dimitrov6-3 6-4
2024-01-15Australian OpenHardR32Nuno Borges6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 7-6(6)