── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nuno Borges 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Cristian Garin
68%32%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
81th · strong
Cristian Garin
28th · below avg
Return
Nuno Borges
69th · average
Cristian Garin
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#35
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
CHI
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R16 | Nuno Borges | 6-4 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2024-04-01 | Estoril | Clay | QF | Cristian Garin | 6-2 7-6(3) |