── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nuno Borges 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Cristian Garin
61%39%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
CHI
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R16 | Nuno Borges | 6-4 3-6 7-6(6) |
| 2024-04-01 | Estoril | Clay | QF | Cristian Garin | 6-2 7-6(3) |