── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nuno Borges 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Jordan Thompson
57%43%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
AUS
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Nuno Borges | 6-7(9) 6-3 6-2 6-4 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Nuno Borges | 6-3 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-06-13 | Ilkley CH | Grass | R32 | Nuno Borges | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2021-04-26 | Estoril | Clay | R32 | Nuno Borges | 7-6(5) 6-3 |