── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Nuno Borges 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nuno Borges
Aleksandar Vukic
74%26%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#152
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
AUS
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Nuno BorgesAleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Nuno Borges7-6(7) 6-4
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardQ2Nuno Borges7-6(4) 6-1