── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Casper Ruud
26%74%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
NOR
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–2
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Casper Ruud | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Nuno Borges | 2-6 6-4 6-1 6-0 |
| 2024-02-19 | Los Cabos | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-2 |