── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Felix Auger Aliassime
25%75%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
CAN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Nuno Borges | 3-6 6-4 6-4 0-0 RET |
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |