── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nuno Borges a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Alexei Popyrin
55%45%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#75
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
AUS
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 7-6(11) 7-6(5) |
| 2023-03-13 | Phoenix CH | Hard | QF | Nuno Borges | 7-5 6-7(4) 6-3 |
| 2017-10-16 | USA F34 | Hard | R16 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |