── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nuno Borges
Holger Rune
32%68%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#55
model rank
#20
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
DEN
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nuno Borges■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Nuno Borges | 6-2 3-0 RET |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Holger Rune | 6-3 7-6(8) |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | Hard | R16 | Holger Rune | 6-0 6-2 |