── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Nuno Borges 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nuno Borges
Juncheng Shang
59%41%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Return
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Juncheng Shang
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#55
model rank
#96
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
POR
country
CHN
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Nuno BorgesJuncheng Shang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR32Nuno Borges7-6(5) 4-6 6-3