── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Thiago Monteiro 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yosuke Watanuki
Thiago Monteiro
41%59%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yosuke Watanuki
7th · poor
Thiago Monteiro
59th · average
Return
Yosuke Watanuki
25th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
BRA
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yosuke Watanuki■ Thiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q1 | Yosuke Watanuki | 7-6(9) 6-6 RET |
| 2023-05-01 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R32 | Yosuke Watanuki | 6-4 4-2 RET |
| 2019-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q3 | Thiago Monteiro | 3-6 7-6(3) 6-3 6-3 |