── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Monteiro 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yosuke Watanuki
Thiago Monteiro
43%57%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yosuke Watanuki
14th · poor
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Yosuke Watanuki
31th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#164
model rank
#146
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
BRA
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Yosuke WatanukiThiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass11
Clay10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassQ1Yosuke Watanuki7-6(9) 6-6 RET
2023-05-01Cagliari CHClayR32Yosuke Watanuki6-4 4-2 RET
2019-07-01WimbledonGrassQ3Thiago Monteiro3-6 7-6(3) 6-3 6-3