── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Yosuke Watanuki a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yosuke Watanuki
Elias Ymer
53%47%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yosuke Watanuki
7th · poor
Elias Ymer
5th · poor
Return
Yosuke Watanuki
25th · below avg
Elias Ymer
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
SWE
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yosuke Watanuki■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | Kobe CH | Hard | F | Yosuke Watanuki | 3-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2022-03-04 | Davis Cup QLS R1: SWE vs JPN | Hard | RR | Elias Ymer | 6-3 6-3 |