── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Marcos Giron
66%34%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Marcos Giron
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#106
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
USA
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay0–2
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4) |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Marcos Giron | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Denis Shapovalov | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | Hard | R16 | Marcos Giron | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-04-01 | Houston | Clay | R32 | Marcos Giron | 6-2 7-5 |