── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Christopher Oconnell
68%32%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#142
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
AUS
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-11-04 | Belgrade | Hard | QF | Denis Shapovalov | 6-2 6-2 |