── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Zhizhen Zhang
72%28%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#153
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
CHN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Zhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Zhizhen Zhang | 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(1) |