── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Botic Van De Zandschulp a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Denis Shapovalov
Botic Van De Zandschulp
49%51%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 55% / 45%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#66
model rank
#62
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
NED
185cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Denis ShapovalovBotic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Botic Van De Zandschulp7-5 6-3
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR128Botic Van De Zandschulp6-4 7-5 6-4
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Denis Shapovalov6-1 6-4