── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Pedro Martinez
72%28%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Pedro Martinez
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#151
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
ESP
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Pedro Martinez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-2 6-0 6-3 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 6-4 |