── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Tabilo a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Alejandro Tabilo
47%53%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
CAN
country
CHI
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-5 3-6 6-4 |