── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Rinderknech a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Denis Shapovalov
Arthur Rinderknech
44%56%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#66
model rank
#49
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Denis ShapovalovArthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass11
Hard11
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-09StuttgartGrassR32Arthur Rinderknech6-4 2-6 6-0
2022-06-27WimbledonGrassR128Denis Shapovalov6-1 6-7(6) 6-7(4) 6-4 6-1
2022-02-14DohaHardQFArthur Rinderknech6-4 6-4
2021-11-08StockholmHardQFDenis Shapovalov4-6 6-3 7-5