── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Daniel Altmaier
59%41%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
GER
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Daniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Daniel Altmaier | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-6(3) 6-3 1-6 6-7(3) 6-4 |