── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hubert Hurkacz 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Hubert Hurkacz
36%64%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#20
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
POL
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–5
Clay0–1
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | SF | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-7(8) 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 7-6(0) 4-6 6-1 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(3) 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3 |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 7-6(6) |
| 2021-03-15 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2019-08-19 | Winston-Salem | Hard | SF | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 |