── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Tallon Griekspoor
58%42%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Tallon Griekspoor
82th · strong
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
NED
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2024-05-20 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-7(7) 7-6(4) 6-3 |