── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Alex Molcan
51%49%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Alex Molcan
79th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#67
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
CAN
country
SVK
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Alex Molcan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings