── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Alex Molcan
57%43%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Alex Molcan
35th · below avg
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#69
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
CAN
country
SVK
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Alex Molcan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings