── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
58%42%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
80th · strong
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
34th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#72
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
ARG
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Tomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 2-6 7-6(5) |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-6(3) 6-3 |