── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Martin Etcheverry 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Denis Shapovalov
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
44%56%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
79th · strong
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#66
model rank
#48
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
ARG
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Denis ShapovalovTomas Martin Etcheverry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Denis Shapovalov6-3 2-6 7-6(5)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Denis Shapovalov7-6(3) 6-3