── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Miomir Kecmanovic
60%40%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
61th · average
Miomir Kecmanovic
56th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Miomir Kecmanovic
70th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#49
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
SRB
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Miomir Kecmanovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard6–0
Clay1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 4-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-02-03 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 4-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-7(4) 6-0 7-5 |
| 2019-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2019-08-19 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2016-04-18 | USA F14 | Clay | F | Denis Shapovalov | 7-5 2-6 7-6(6) |