── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Denis Shapovalov
Adam Walton
55%45%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Adam Walton
47th · average
Return
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Adam Walton
35th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#66
model rank
#90
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
CAN
country
AUS
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Denis Shapovalov■ Adam Walton
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-14 | Los Cabos | Hard | SF | Denis Shapovalov | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-3 6-2 |